Earlier Thursday, President Donald Trump took a victory lap on the recent market rally, tweeting about financial market news being “better than anticipated.” He also promised “more good news is coming” for those who have “made a fortune” in markets.
However, on Thursday, U.S. stocks snapped a four-day winning streak after a report said Trump would support moving ahead with additional tariffs against China.
Robert Pavlik, chief investment strategist at Slatestone Wealth, told CNBC he isn’t ready to jump into the market right now “with two hands and two feet.”
“We’re up about 8 percent since June,” he told “Power Lunch.”
Instead, he said, he will wait until after people come back from vacation and “see where the market wants to go.”
When it comes to the global economy, Pavlik said the rest of the world isn’t in the same type of situation as the United States. While the U.S. is in a great position to negotiate tariffs, other nations aren’t ready to handle interest rate increases, he explained.
“We have major, major countries that are still at zero percent interest rates. What happens when those countries that are not doing so great start to raise rates? That’s what concerns me,” Pavlik said.
He said the S&P 500 could trade as high as 3040, but if gets past that mark he thinks there may be a “bit” of a pullback on concerns over the midterm elections.
That could bring the S&P 500 down to 2875, he said.
“As we go into next year, there’s going to be a little bit more concern about maybe some changes in Congress, about maybe a slowdown in earnings pace, maybe the Federal Reserve, less repatriated cash to come back from overseas and fuel buybacks,” Pavlik said.
He ultimately sees a market gain in the range of 7.5 percent this year and another 5.25 to 5.5 percent next year.
— CNBC’s Jeff Cox, Fred Imbert and Brenda Hentschel contributed to this report.