Already up 60% this year, a pair of analysts see Netflix rising even higher

Commenting on a related trend, Macquarie analyst Tim Nollen note that as people upgrade to the latest definition standard, the number of Netflix subscribers willing to pay a premium for its ultra-HD content is likely to climb in tandem.

“Netflix seems to have every secular trend in its favor. Our closer look at the backdrop to sub growth, pricing, and accounting items underscores our view that even more positive quality of earnings is taking shape,” Nollen wrote on Monday. “Another opportunity for Netflix is the proliferation of 4K ultra HD TVs and the replacement rate of older TV sets with this new definition standard globally.”

The analyst contended that people who tend to watch Netflix likely prefer screens with better resolution. And that, in turn, spells added revenue for the streaming company; while Netflix offers a $10 per month “Standard,” HD plan, its Ultra HD plan for 4K TVs cost $14 per month.

Source: Macquarie Research, Pivot Media, Strategy Analytics,

According to Macquarie research, the prevalence of 4K televisions in North America could reach 50 percent by 2020, up from 12 percent in 2016.

Nollen has a 12-month price target of $330 on Netflix, representing 9.6 percent upside from Friday’s close.

Shares of Netflix rose Monday after the analysts’ calls, up nearly 3 percent. Netflix has consistently outperformed the broader market over the past year, climbing more than 120 percent; the shares are up 61 percent in 2018 versus the S&P 500’s 1.3 percent climb.

“Netflix is both a driver and a beneficiary of the 4K TV trend,” Nollen said. “Old TV’s reach end of life and new TV viewers enter the marketplace, and while these TV buyers may already have Netflix, the availability of higher definition streams for existing Netflix content means re-tiering has a natural driver.”